Sunday, December 27, 2009

Is The Democrat House of Cards Crumbling?

    The latest Battleground P0ll would seem to indicate that Republicans should have a much better time at the polls next year. We're told by Ed Goeas, President and CEO of the Tarreance Group that, “The political landscape continues to deteriorate for President Obama and the Democrats in Congress, no matter which direction you look; vote intensity, generic ballot, presidential job approval, or issue handling, Republicans have made gains that more than even out the playing field for the 2010 Elections." You can read the latest result's of the this poll at: http://wrgw.wordpress.com/2009/12/16/battleground-poll-favors-republicans-in-2010-election/But beyond that, here are some other conclusions that have been in the news over the last week that further suggest that the Democrats will face a tough time just 10 months from now:
  • Democrats have lost two major governorships in 2009, New Jersey and Virgina
  • Incumbent Democratic Senator Byron Dorgan may have a serious problem on his hands if Republicans recruit Governor John Hoeven to run for the U.S. Senate in North Dakota next year.
    The first Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 telephone survey of likely voters in North Dakota finds the popular Republican governor leading Dorgan by 22 - 58% to 26%. Just six percent (56%) are undecided in that senatorial contest. From: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/north_dakota/election_2010_north_dakota_senatets – 58% to 36%. Just six percent (6%) are undecided in that senatorial contest.
  • Harry Reid is behind several potential Republican challengers in Nevada by double digits.
  • Arkansas Senator Blanche Lincoln is behind her potential Republican challengers.
  • In Delaware and Illinois Republicans running ahead of their Democrat opponents.
  • On the Congressional generic vote Republicans now lead by seven percent.
  • Polling reflects that base energy disparity. In the recent NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, Fifty six percent of Republicans call themselves highly interested in the 2010 election while 46 percent of Democrats say the same.
  • Among that highly interested group, Republicans held a 47 percent to 39 percent edge on the generic ballot question -- a broad indicator of the direction the battle for the House is taking.
  • Rep. Parker Griffith, a freshman Democrat from Alabama, is switching to the Republican Party. He cites the health care bill as a major reason for his switch, and has a history of conservative votes in the House of Representatives. His district has traditionally leaned left.

1 comment:

Hightower said...

The problem with North Dakota is that Hoeven is not a conservative. He is an ex democrat who has actually given money to Dorgan in the past. The North Dakota GOP is splintering right now because the conservatives are being pushed out. If Hoeven runs and the conservative base is out (the TEA Partiers as well) I don't see how he can win. His past will come back to haunt him. The conservative candidate running is Paul Sorum. Great ideas that can make a difference. Conservatives should back him and not the rino John Hoeven.